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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2025

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dereck Lively II has sunk 68.5% of his shot attempts from the field away from home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • The Mavericks check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year.
  • The Mavericks have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Grizzlies have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Mavericks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 4th percentile for three-point performance while playing away from home with a weak 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
  • Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II measures in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.9 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
  • The rate of shots made against Zach Edey has been quite low (44.7%) when he is at home and guarding fellow starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the league on the road with a mere 7.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Zach Edey has been remarkably low this year (1.1 free throws per game when they are on their home court: 3rd percentile).

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