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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 1/1/2025

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has sunk 85.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 15.2% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

In regard to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's terrific 119.5 points per game away from home rates 4th-best in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The 7th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

The Rockets have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II lands in the 4th percentile for 3-point ability away from home with a lackluster 0.0% rate since the start of last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II rates in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.8 fouls per game away from his home court this year.

The number of points logged against Alperen Sengun has been very low (12.0 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.

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