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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games on the road.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 7th-best in in the NBA on the road with 11.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

The matchup against Deandre Ayton is a good one for getting to the foul line; when Ayton is playing at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 3.8 free throws per game (97th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The matchup against Deandre Ayton is a difficult one for field goal attempts; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 8.4 field goals per game (4th percentile).

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