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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 12/25/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has made 86.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 15.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

The 6th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9th-best in in the NBA at home with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Dereck Lively II will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II registers in the 7th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc on his home court, tallying 0.0 per game this year.

Dereck Lively II has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (94th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games playing at home in terms of shot attempts from downtown.

The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a difficult one; he has allowed a measly 12.7 points per game on the road when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (21st percentile).

The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.

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