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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 73.0% of his field goals playing at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.

Dereck Lively II has tallied 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. Deandre Ayton is a positive one for three-point attempts; when Ayton is on the visiting team and squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.0 3-point shots per game (86th percentile).

The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks.

The Mavericks check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II measures in the 7th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc with the home court advantage, putting up 0.0 per game this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.0 fouls per game this year.

As it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league with the home court advantage over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

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