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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 12/7/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has made 69.6% of his field goals while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Jakob Poeltl is a good one; he has given up a colossal 17.4 points per game when defending opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile).

The 5th-speediest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 5th percentile for 3-point performance while playing on the road with a subpar 0.0% rate since the start of last season.

Dereck Lively II has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Mavericks.

Dereck Lively II will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

More Dereck Lively II Player Props

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