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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 11/30/2024

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 69.8% of his shots from the field this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.

The number of points totaled against Walker Kessler has been very high (19.5 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The 5th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

The Mavericks are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 10th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has converted 0.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc when playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking in the 5th percentile out of all players in the league.

Dereck Lively II has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (96th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.

The matchup with Walker Kessler when it comes to drawing fouls rates in the 25th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.5 foul shots per game this year.

Dereck Lively II will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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