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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 11/25/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 98th percentile for shooting ability with an outstanding 74.4% rate this year.

The faceoff with Clint Capela places in only the 88th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs converting a massive 1.3 shots from downtown per game this year when they are on the away squad.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hawks).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Clint Capela has been quite high this year (3.2 free throws per game when they are playing on the road: 82nd percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II rates in the 5th percentile for 3-point effectiveness away from home with a lackluster 0.0% rate since the start of last season.

Dereck Lively II has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (95th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games in terms of shot attempts from downtown.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league while playing away from home this year.

Dereck Lively II ought to see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

More Dereck Lively II Player Props

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