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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 98th percentile for shooting effectiveness with a very good 71.8% rate this year.

The matchup with Nikola Jokic places in just the 96th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs scoring an enormous 8.1 shots per game this year when they are on the visiting team.

The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).

The Mavericks rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Nikola Jokic has been remarkably high this year (5.3 foul shot attempts per game when they are on the away squad: 96th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II slots into the 5th percentile for 3-point ability when playing away from home with a poor 0.0% rate since the start of last season.

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II lands in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 3.1 fouls per game this year.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in regard to 3-point attempts.

The 5th-slowest pace away offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Dereck Lively II will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease stat production across the board.

More Dereck Lively II Player Props

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