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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II places in the 95th percentile for scoring ability with a great 72.2% rate this year.

The Mavericks are expected to see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league this year (the Thunder).

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 13 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Jalen Williams is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; when Williams is at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.4 foul shots per game (96th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 0.0% of his attempts from downtown when playing away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 5th percentile among all players in the league.

Dereck Lively II has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (97th percentile).

The matchup against Jalen Williams is a challenging one for shots from downtown; when Williams is playing at home and matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have tallied a mere 0.0 3-pointers per game (4th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.

As a team, the Dallas Mavericks have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe as the away team: 5th-worst in the league this year with a mere 19.8 foul shots per game.

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