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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 11/16/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II rates in the 90th percentile for shooting efficiency playing at home with an outstanding 66.6% rate this year.
  • As it relates to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's stellar 114.9 points per game ranks 10th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The number of shot attempts from the field against Zach Collins has been very high (12.7 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (96th percentile).
  • Dereck Lively II will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally increases stat production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II rates in the 15th percentile for shot attempts from downtown while playing at home, posting 0.0 per game this year.
  • Dereck Lively II has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the league this year.
  • The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.
  • The Mavericks rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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