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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has sunk 80.5% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 9.6% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on the road.

As it relates to shooting, the Mavericks's impressive 122.3 points per game as the visting team places highest in the league over the last 10 games.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.

The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league this year, which should raise possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II comes in at the 6th percentile for three-point performance while playing on the road with a subpar 0.0% rate this year.

Dereck Lively II has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The Mavericks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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