My Account Log Out

reorder

Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has sunk 76.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.7% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

In regard to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 120.9 points per game settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The 3rd-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

The Miami Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are playing at home, the other team has attempted 19.2 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 5th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a a subpar 0.0% rate this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II lands in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.8 fouls per game this year.

This matchup is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; their opposition has totaled the 9th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (36.7).

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the slowest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).

The Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Dereck Lively II Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™