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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has sunk 86.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 15.6% higher than he's made in all games this season.

With respect to offense, the Mavericks's fantastic 121.1 points per game comes in as the 4th-best in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup vs. Myles Turner is a good one for three-pointers; when Turner is away from his home court fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a massive 45.0% of their 3-point attempts (93rd percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (93rd percentile).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

When playing away from home, the Indiana Pacers have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 7 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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