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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+114/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has sunk 78.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 8.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

When it comes to shooting, the Mavericks's outstanding 122.2 points per game rates 3rd-highest in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a hard one for scoring; opposing clubs have compiled the lowest field goal percentage in the NBA over the last 20 games (43.8%).

When defending other starting Cs, Kristaps Porzingis rates in the 83rd percentile with a colossal 2.1 shots from downtown attempted against him per game this year.

The 4th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has made 0.0% of his 3-point attempts away from home this year, placing him in the 7th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Dereck Lively II has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 2ndworst in in the league while playing away from home with just 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics (saving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).

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