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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has converted 77.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 8.6% higher than he's made in all games this season.

The Mavericks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup against Jarrett Allen is a strong one for scoring; when Allen is on his home court fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a whopping 62.0% of their shot attempts from the field (97th percentile).

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have captured 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce extra opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II rates in the 7th percentile for 3-point efficiency on the road with a a subpar 0.0% rate this year.

Dereck Lively II has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (95th percentile).

The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Jarrett Allen has been very low this year (1.9 foul shots per game when they are on their home court: 3rd percentile).

More Dereck Lively II Player Props

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