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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 2/22/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II places in the 98th percentile for shooting effectiveness while at home with a an impressive 72.6% rate this year.
  • When it comes to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's excellent 123.0 points per game ranks 5th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
  • This matchup is a tough one for scoring; when the Suns are on the road, their opposition has posted the 4th-lowest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (46.3%).
  • The matchup vs. Jusuf Nurkic is a favorable one for three-point shots; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a whopping 38.4% of their three-pointers (83rd percentile).
  • The most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II rates in the 5th percentile for 3-point performance with a a poor 0.0% rate this year.
  • Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II comes in at the 95th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 3.0 fouls per game at home this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Suns have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Jusuf Nurkic has been remarkably low this year (2.7 free throw attempts per game: 17th percentile).

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