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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 1/24/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+112/-152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II rates in the 98th percentile for scoring effectiveness with a a stellar 68.8% rate this year.

The Mavericks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games as the home team.

The showdown with Jusuf Nurkic lands in the 97th percentile with the other side's starting Cs burying a whopping 44.7% of their attempts from downtown this year.

Dereck Lively II has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 39.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Dereck Lively II will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually increases player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 5th-least up-tempo pace visiting team in the league over the last 15 games (the Suns).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the league with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

When playing away from home, the Phoenix Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Dereck Lively II Player Props

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