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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 1/22/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II rates in the 97th percentile for shooting prowess with a a remarkable 67.8% rate this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a tough one for shots from the field; opposing squads have shot for the 3rd-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (45.2%).
  • When guarding fellow starting Cs, Al Horford slots into the 96th percentile with a massive 2.3 treys attempted against him per game this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Celtics have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II comes in at the 5th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a a weak 0.0% rate this year.
  • Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II rates in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.
  • Over the last 20 games, their opposition has snagged 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Celtics (retaining possessions that can produce added chances for offense).
  • The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Al Horford has been remarkably low this year (2.9 foul shots per game: 18th percentile).

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