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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II registers in the 95th percentile for shooting ability with a an outstanding 66.0% rate this year.

The matchup vs. Jonas Valanciunas is a favorable one for scoring; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a whopping 63.8% of their shots from the field (93rd percentile).

The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9thbest in in the league while playing at home with 10.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

This year when they are at home, their opposition has snagged 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 5th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a a bad 0.0% rate this year.

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II registers in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.9 fouls per game playing at home this year.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the slowest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Jonas Valanciunas has been very low this year (3.3 foul shots per game when they are at home: 24th percentile).

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