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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has made 83.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 10.0% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing at home.

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Ibou Badji is a positive one; he has given up a colossal 19.8 points per game when squaring off against opposing starting Cs since the start of last season (100th percentile).

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Dereck Lively II has attempted 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has made 0.0% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the league.

Dereck Lively II has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (95th percentile).

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the 5th-most sluggish pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers).

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Away from home, the Portland Trail Blazers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.1) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

More Dereck Lively II Player Props

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