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Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-102/-120).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Dereck Lively II has sunk 67.0% of his shots from the field while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.In regard to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 116.9 points per game while on the road measures as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games.This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have averaged 30.0% on three-pointers (worst in the league) against the Timberwolves, branding this as a hard matchup.When on his home court and defending other starting Cs, Rudy Gobert has been in the 100th percentile with a monstrous 2.8 threes attempted against him per game this year.The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Dereck Lively II has converted 0.0% of his treys while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league.Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II rates in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 3.1 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.The Dallas Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 10th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have nabbed 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (retaining possessions that can lead to more chances for offense).
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