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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 12/25/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II lands in the 94th percentile for field goal effectiveness away from his home court with a a stellar 65.2% rate this year.

The faceoff with Drew Eubanks ranks in the 96th percentile with the other side's starting Cs making a massive 47.2% of their treys this year when they are on the away squad.

The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 8th percentile for three-point ability without the home court advantage with a a weak 0.0% rate this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II slots into the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 3.1 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.

The Suns have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Mavericks.

This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.6 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Suns (maintaining possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).

As a team, the Mavericks have been lousy at drawing fouls away from their home court: 6th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a mere 21.0 foul shots per game.

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