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Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-103).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Dereck Lively II has successfully made 6.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's made overall this year.Dereck Lively II has tallied 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's tallied overall this year.The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.On the road, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II slots into the 4th percentile for three-point ability at home with a a poor 0.0% rate this year.Dereck Lively II has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.This year, their opposition has shot 39.5% on three-pointers (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, branding this as a good matchup.The matchup against Minnesota is a difficult one; when the Timberwolves are on the road, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting Cs this year (9.9).The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).
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