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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 12/12/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dereck Lively II has sunk 5.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year without the home court advantage.
  • Dereck Lively II has played 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 4.4 higher than he's played in all games this season on the road.
  • The Mavericks have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year.
  • The 7th-speediest pace team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.
  • The Mavericks will likely see an increase in plays in this game from facing the 5th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Lakers).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Dereck Lively II has converted 0.0% of his three-point shots this year, ranking him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II lands in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.9 fouls per game this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Lakers is a tough one for field goals; the opposing team's starting Cs have posted the 14th-lowest FG% in the league this year (47.5%).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.4 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
  • The Lakers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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