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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Dereck Lively II has sunk 69.3% of his field goal attempts while on the road this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
  • The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
  • The Grizzlies have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Dereck Lively II has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II rates in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 3.2 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting Cs have tallied 8.8 shot attempts per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, labeling this as a tough matchup.
  • The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • Dereck Lively II should see a decline in performance for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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