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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dereck Lively II has made 67.8% of his field goals with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.

In terms of shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 119.7 points per game comes in as the 5th-highest in the league this year.

Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged 61.9% on field goal attempts (26th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, labeling this as a strong matchup.

The 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

The matchup against Portland is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted an enormous 3.8 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Trail Blazers are playing at home (23rd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has sunk 0.0% of his three-point attempts this year, putting him in the 6th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Dereck Lively II has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 8thworst in in the NBA with just 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The Portland Trail Blazers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

More Dereck Lively II Player Props

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