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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II rates in the 94th percentile for field goal ability with a a phenomenal 66.5% rate this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home this year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting Cs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (28th-most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Dereck Lively II figures to see an increase in effectiveness across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has made 0.0% of his three-point attempts while on his home court this year, putting him in the 4th percentile among all players in the league.

Out of all players in the league, Dereck Lively II places in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 3.1 fouls per game away from his home court this year.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting Cs have scored 11.4 points per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a challenging matchup for offensive production.

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 10thworst in in the league while playing at home with just 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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