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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies

Dereck Lively II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II ranks in the 96th percentile for shooting performance on his home court with a a great 69.0% rate this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).

Dereck Lively II has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 32.3% more than he's sunk overall this year while playing away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II places in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 3.4 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.

The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies is a challenging one for shots from the field; opposing starting Cs have totaled the 14th-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (8.3).

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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