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Dereck Lively II

Dereck Lively II Assists
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Orlando Magic

Dereck Lively II Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 11thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 10.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

This year, their opposition has nabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).

Dereck Lively II will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Dereck Lively II has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The 10th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Mavericks.

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