Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2024

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 20, 2024

Updated Nov 21, 2024 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 9 games on their home court, which should increase plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Portland Trail Blazers grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has made just 34.9% of his shot attempts from the field this year, quite a bit lower than his 49.9 rate last year.
Out of all players in the league, Deni Avdija registers in the 12th percentile for 3-point prowess while playing away from home with a weak 17.8% rate this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Trail Blazers's lackluster 104.3 points per game as the road team settles in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have averaged 37.1 three attempts per game (22nd-most in the NBA) against the Thunder, resulting in a favorable matchup.
Deni Avdija stands to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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