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Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija Points
Player Prop - 10/27/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Deni Avdija has played 30.1 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 78th percentile.

The Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Deni Avdija has attempted 3.7 free throws per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Over the last 19 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Deni Avdija will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally increases stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Deni Avdija lands in the 21st percentile for field goal effectiveness while playing at home with a lackluster 36.1% rate since the start of last season.

Deni Avdija has made 0.0% of his shots from downtown at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 14th percentile among all players in the NBA.

With respect to shooting, the Portland Trail Blazers's subpar 106.3 points per game comes in as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season.

This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 9.1 shot attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, branding this as a difficult matchup.

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