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Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija Points
Player Prop - 1/8/2024

Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Deni Avdija has made 6.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Deni Avdija has sunk 48.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 9.3% more than he's sunk in all games this year when playing at home.

In terms of scoring, the Wizards's fantastic 49.3% field goal rate while on their home court rates 5th-strongest in the league this year.

The fastest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards.

The Thunder have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Wizards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Deni Avdija has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season.

This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on threes (14th-worst in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a hard matchup.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 7.7 offensive boards per game this year.

The Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Oklahoma may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Thunder are the visiting team (14th-least in the NBA).

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