Deni Avdija Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Wizards rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The matchup vs. Toronto is a favorable one; when the Toronto Raptors are on the road, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs this year (23.9).
The fastest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.
Away from home, the Toronto Raptors have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (8.9) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija has attempted 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has made 19.4% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 12.4% lower than he's converted from three overall this year.
The Washington Wizards are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the 6th-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Raptors).
The Washington Wizards have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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