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Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija Points
Player Prop - 12/17/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Washington Wizards

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Deni Avdija rates in the 76th percentile for shooting effectiveness with a a superb 50.8% rate this year.

The Wizards have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.

This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 5.1 three attempts per game (21st-most in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, marking this as a strong matchup.

The Wizards have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.

At home, the Suns have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Deni Avdija has committed 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.3 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road.

The Washington Wizards are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from competing against the most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Suns).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) against the Suns, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Deni Avdija will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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