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Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija Points
Player Prop - 11/25/2023

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks

Deni Avdija Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 42.7% clip, Deni Avdija's field goal prowess has jumped this season to 53.0%.

In contrast to last season's 29.1% clip, Deni Avdija's three-point effectiveness has increased this season to 43.3%.

The Washington Wizards have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA this year.

The Wizards will likely see a rise in plays in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Hawks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Deni Avdija has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (76th percentile).

The matchup vs. Atlanta is a challenging one for threes; when the Hawks are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (0.5).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 9.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have come down with 11.9 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks (preserving possessions that can result in extra opportunities for offense).

The matchup against Atlanta is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.1 foul shots per game this year when the Atlanta Hawks are playing at home (10th-least in the NBA).

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