Deni Avdija Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 10:22 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has averaged an impressive 4.2 assists per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 2.9 assists per game last year.
Deni Avdija has been called for a mere 2.1 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 2.8 fouls per game last year.
The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Washington Wizards are expected to see a rise in possessions today from facing the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have come down with 8.8 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 3rdworst in in the league away from home with a mere 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Deni Avdija ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this game.