Deni Avdija Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Deni Avdija

NBA · Player Props

Deni Avdija

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Deni Avdija Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Deni Avdija has totaled 5.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's totaled over the course of the season.
Deni Avdija has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Magic have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Wizards.
The Magic have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Deni Avdija will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Deni Avdija has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home.
The Washington Wizards rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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