DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2026

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 3, 2026

Updated Apr 4, 2026 12:15 AM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has totaled 22.2 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.6 higher than he's totaled in all games this season.
The Kings have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 19 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

In terms of scoring, the Kings's poor 110.9 points per game places 3rd-fewest in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 9.1 field goal attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 6th-slowest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

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