DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2026

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DeMar DeRozan

NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 28, 2026

Updated Mar 28, 2026 11:29 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Atlanta Hawks have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (60.1%).
The Kings are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Hawks).
The Kings have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to scoring, the Kings's subpar 110.8 points per game ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home.
The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

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