DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2026

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NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 22, 2026

Updated Mar 22, 2026 6:03 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has averaged 24.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 19.5 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Nets, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive production.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
The matchup against the Nets is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.9 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

In terms of shooting, the Kings's unimpressive 110.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the league this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Kings.