DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2026

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NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Utah Jazz · Mar 15, 2026

Updated Mar 15, 2026 10:09 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
The 3rd-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road, which should lead to more possessions for the Kings.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 6th-best in in the NBA with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has notched a measly 18.4 points per game this year, significantly lower than his 22.4 points per game last year.
With respect to offense, the Sacramento Kings's lackluster 110.8 points per game comes in as the 2nd-fewest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Utah is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.0 free throws per game this year when the Utah Jazz are on the road (least in the league).