DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2026

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NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 11, 2026

Updated Mar 11, 2026 9:43 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have notched 22.3 points per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Hornets, branding this as a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 4th-best in in the league with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. the Hornets is a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 4.5 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 22.4 rate, DeMar DeRozan's points per game have declined this year to 18.1.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Sacramento Kings will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-least up-tempo pace away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Charlotte Hornets).