DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2026

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NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 10, 2026

Updated Mar 10, 2026 9:48 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Pacers).
The Sacramento Kings have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.7 free throws per game this year (5th-most in the league).

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has put up just 18.2 points per game this year, significantly less than his 22.4 points per game last year.
As it relates to offense, the Kings's feeble 110.6 points per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the league this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.9 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the Pacers, resulting in a hard matchup.