DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2026

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NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 5, 2026

Updated Mar 5, 2026 10:03 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from competing against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Over the last 19 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

DeMar DeRozan has put up just 18.2 points per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 22.4 points per game last year.
The Kings rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 9.1 shot attempts per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, labeling this as a tough matchup.