DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2026

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NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 1, 2026

Updated Mar 1, 2026 9:30 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-117/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 5.8 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, making this a positive matchup.
The Kings have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Kings rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Kings's lackluster 110.4 points per game rates 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Kings.
The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).