DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2026

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NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 26, 2026

Updated Feb 26, 2026 8:30 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 17 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks, easily managing to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The Kings rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the least shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (0.8).
The 9th-slowest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Sacramento Kings.