DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2026

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NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Washington Wizards · Jan 16, 2026

Updated Jan 16, 2026 10:08 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-104/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

DeMar DeRozan has scored 25.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's scored overall this year.
The Kings rank as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court.
The matchup against the Wizards is a strong one; they have allowed the 7th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (15.7).
The Sacramento Kings will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Wizards).
The matchup against Washington may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Washington Wizards are the visiting team (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The 4th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings rank 8thworst in in the league with a mere 10.3 offensive boards per game this year.