DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2026

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NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 6, 2026

Updated Jan 6, 2026 11:05 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-114/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, creating a favorable matchup.
The Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase plays for the Kings.
As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been very successful at getting to the foul line in recent games: 10th-best in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, averaging 25.4 foul shot attempts per game.

Favors Under

The 8th-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the NBA).