DeMar DeRozan Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2026

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NBA · Player Props

DeMar DeRozan

G-F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 4, 2026

Updated Jan 4, 2026 9:14 PM EST

Analysis

DeMar DeRozan Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 7.0 buckets per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Bucks, making this a good matchup.
In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Sacramento Kings's outstanding 25.4 foul shot attempts per game while playing at home ranks 10th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Bucks, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Sacramento Kings.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).